08 January, 2018 - Foreign Trade Expectation Survey (DTBA) reflects assessments of Turkish foreign trade depending on recent and current situations along with future expectations of leading firms. Particularly, it helps to produce indices which can be stated as leading indicators.
Export Expectation Index decreased by 11.2 points to 112.5 in the 1st quarter of 2018 from 123.7 in the 4th quarter of 2017. Diffusion indices of Survey questions composing the Export Expectation Index show that, in the 1st quarter of 2018, in comparison to the 4th quarter of 2017, expectations regarding the level of export for the next 3 months, the level of current export orders, export orders belonging to the last 3 months and expectations for the export orders of the next 3 months have decreasing effect over the Index.
Import Expectation Index increased by 2.1 points to 115.0 in the 1st quarter of 2018 from 112.8 in the 4th quarter of 2017. In the 1st quarter of 2017, in comparison to the 4th quarter of 2017, among the survey questions identifying the Import Expectation Index, current level of import orders and the expectations regarding the level of import for the next 3 months have decreasing effects over Index, while unit import price for the next 3 months and level of import orders of the last 3 months has increasing effects over Index.
Source: Ministry of Economy